Method 1 A notable challenge in determining the number of Travellers reaching 18 years old during the TAP 2025-2029 period is the fact that the Census 2022 age profile data 21 only provides combined figures for Cork City and Cork County. To overcome this data gap the proportion of the combined city and county population who will become 18 during the TAP was calculated and this proportion was applied to the Census 2022 Cork City Traveller population. The number of 11 – 15 year olds in the 2022 Census who live within Cork City and County and will become 18 years old within the TAP period of 2025 – 2029 equates to 287 children. This is 12% of the total city and county Traveller population. Taking the 2022 Census figure of 1,442 for Travellers living in private households in Cork City alone 22 , it is estimated that 12% of this total equaling 173 children will reach the age of 18 during the TAP period. If a 50% household formation rate is assumed for this Traveller age cohort this gives rise to 86 new households being formed during the TAP period. Method 2 This approach starts with the 2023 Traveller Count family number for Cork City and extrapolates it to the year 2029 based on the average annual growth rate of the Cork City Traveller population of 0.5% between 2017 – 2023 23 . This approach results in a projected Traveller household figure of 580 by 2029, an increase of 70 households. Both Methods 1 and 2 project growth across the entire Traveller population within the city. The 2023 Traveller Cork City Annual Count shows us however that while 79% of Traveller households were in receipt of some form of Local Authority accommodation assistance or were on unauthorised halting sites, the remaining 21% were arranging their own accommodation without Local Authority intervention. It is assumed that a similar ratio will apply to the new household
formations, reducing the predicted housing need where Local Authority support is required to 68 households (method 1) or 55 households (method 2). Method 3 As part of the TAP Survey the 104 respondents were asked to estimate the number of family members living in their household who would need their own accommodation in the next 5 years. The resulting estimate of 113 new households, however, includes adult children already identified within the current accommodation need category (ref Section 4.3) as well as projected need for younger children who will reach 18 years of age by 2029. This figure is therefore considered to be an overestimate in terms of projected need. It is concluded therefore that the projected accommodation need for the TAP period will be between 55 households (method 2) and 68 households (method 1). The assessment is therefore based on the midpoint figure of 61 households, the averaged projection figure across method 1 and method 2. With regard to the different types and geographical distribution of the projected accommodation need, it is assumed the same preference breakdown will apply for the new families as was stated by the respondents of the TAP Survey.
21 CSO Table F5092. 22 Derived from CSO Table F5072.
23 In the Annual Traveller Counts the population grew from 495 households to 510 households between 2017 - 2023, an average annual growth rate of c. 0.5%.
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Cork City Council | Traveller Accommodation Programme 2025-2029
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