CCC CDP 2022-2028 2 Year Progress Report

[ Cork City Development Plan 2022-2028, Section 15(2) Two-Year Progress Report ]

Figure 21: Population Distribution in Cork City in 2016 and 2022

4% HINTERLAND

4% HINTERLAND 16% URBAN TOWNS

4% HINTERLAND

16% URBAN TOWNS

12% CITY CENTRE

13% CITY CENTRE

17% URBAN TOWNS

68% CITY SUBURBS

66% CITY SUBURBS

POPULATION 2016 (DISTRIBUTION)

POPULATION 2022 (DISTRIBUTION)

Source: Census 2016 and Census 2022

The NPF 2040, and associated statutory plans, use the 2016 Census as the baseline year for population targets. Cork City’s population growth rate of 6.2% from 2016-2022 is above the 5.6% rate targeted under the City Development Plan and NPF for the same period. After adjusting for 2022, the remaining growth targets set out to 2028 (+16%), 2031 (+10%) and 2040 (+17%) remain notably higher.

The table below sets out historic population figures for the seven Censuses from 1991 to 2022, and provides the population projections set out the City Development Plan (2028), Southern Regional Spatial and Economic Strategy (2031) and National Planning Framework (NPF).

Figure 22: Population Trends: Census 1991-2022 & Population Projections 2028, 2031 and 2040

Census

CDP RSES

NPF

1991

1996 2002 2006 2011

2016 2022 2028 2031

2040

Cork City* 178,716 184,502 191,277 195,478 200,373 210,614 224,004 261,040 286,178 335,853

% Change

3.2% 3.7% 2.2% 2.5% 5.1% 6.2% 16.5% 9.6% 17.4%

Review of Population trend (Figure 2.6 of the City Development Plan Core Strategy)

Historically, the current administrative boundary for Cork City has experienced an average of +4% population for each of last six census periods since 1991. The average NPF population growth target for the city for each of the three remaining Censuses (up to 2040) is four times (+16%) this historic average rate.